22 August 2017

On Problem Solving IX: Mistakes, Blunders and Errors I

"Whenever there is a simple error that most laymen fall for, there is always a slightly more sophisticated version of the same problem that experts fall for." (Amos Tversky)

"It is better to do the right problem the wrong way than to do the wrong problem the right way." (Richard Hamming)

"A sum can be put right: but only by going back till you find the error and working it afresh from that point, never by simply going on."  (Clive Staples Lewis, "The Great Divorce", 1945)

"Error does not carry any recognizable badge, for when we change our point of view, to focus on a different problem, what had been error may become information, and what had been information may become error." (Solomon Diamond, "Information and Error: An Introduction to Statistical Analysis", 1959) 

"Intuition implies the act of grasping the meaning or significance or structure of a problem without explicit reliance on the analytical apparatus of one’s craft. It is the intuitive mode that yields hypotheses quickly, that produces interesting combinations of ideas before their worth is known. It precedes proof: indeed, it is what the techniques of analysis and proof are designed to test and check. It is founded on a kind of combinatorial playfulness that is only possible when the consequences of error are not overpowering or sinful." (Jerome S Bruner, "On Learning Mathematics", Mathematics Teacher Vol. 53, 1960)

"There is the very real danger that a number of problems which could profitably be subjected to analysis, and so treated by simpler and more revealing techniques. will instead be routinely shunted to the computing machines [...] The role of computing machines as a mathematical tool is not that of a panacea for all computational ills." (Richard E Bellman & Paul Brock, "On the Concepts of a Problem and Problem-Solving", American Mathematical Monthly 67, 1960)

"I suppose it is tempting, if the only tool you have is a hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail." (Abraham H Maslow, "Toward a Psychology of Being", 1962)

"Heuristics are rules of thumb that help constrain the problem in certain ways (in other words they help you to avoid falling back on blind trial and error), but they don't guarantee that you will find a solution. Heuristics are often contrasted with algorithms that will guarantee that you find a solution - it may take forever, but if the problem is algorithmic you will get there. However, heuristics are also algorithms." (S Ian Robertson, "Problem Solving", 2001)

"In specific cases, we think by applying mental rules, which are similar to rules in computer programs. In most of the cases, however, we reason by constructing, inspecting, and manipulating mental models. These models and the processes that manipulate them are the basis of our competence to reason. In general, it is believed that humans have the competence to perform such inferences error-free. Errors do occur, however, because reasoning performance is limited by capacities of the cognitive system, misunderstanding of the premises, ambiguity of problems, and motivational factors. Moreover, background knowledge can significantly influence our reasoning performance. This influence can either be facilitation or an impedance of the reasoning process." (Carsten Held et al, "Mental Models and the Mind", 2006)

"Swarm intelligence illustrates the complex and holistic way in which the world operates. Order is created from chaos; patterns are revealed; and systems are free to work out their errors and problems at their own level. What natural systems can teach humanity is truly amazing." (Lawrence K Samuels, "Defense of Chaos: The Chaology of Politics, Economics and Human Action", 2013)

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