Showing posts with label limits. Show all posts
Showing posts with label limits. Show all posts

14 April 2022

On Analysis: On Limits

"For those ultimate ratios with which quantities vanish are not truly the ratios of ultimate quantities, but limits toward which the ratios of quantities decreasing without limit do always converge." (Isaac Newton, "Philosophiæ Naturalis Principia Mathematica" ["Mathematical Principles of Natural Philosophy"] 1687)

"There really must be, in the commencement of contact, in that indivisible instant of time which is an indivisible limit between the continuous time that preceded the contact & that subsequent to it (just in the same way as a point in geometry is an indivisible limit between two segments of a continuous line), a change of velocity taking place suddenly, without any passage through intermediate stages; & this violates the Law of Continuity, which absolutely denies the possibility of a passage from one magnitude to another without passing through intermediate stages." (Roger J Boscovich, "Philosophiae Naturalis Theoria Redacta Ad Unicam Legera Virium in Natura Existentium, 1758)

"The function just found cannot, it is true, express rigorously the probabilities of the errors: for since the possible errors are in all cases confined within certain limits, the probability of errors exceeding those limits ought always to be zero, while our formula always gives some value. However, this defect, which every analytical function must, from its nature, labor under, is of no importance in practice, because the value of our function decreases so rapidly […] that it can safely be considered as vanishing. Besides, the nature of the subject never admits of assigning with absolute rigor the limits of error." (Carl F Gauss, "Theoria motus corporum coelestium in sectionibus conicis solem ambientum", 1809)

"The Infinite is often confounded with the Indefinite, but the two conceptions are diametrically opposed. Instead of being a quantity with unassigned yet assignable limits, the Infinite is not a quantity at all, since it neither admits of augmentation nor diminution, having no assignable limits; it is the operation of continuously withdrawing any limits that may have been assigned: the endless addition of new quantities to the old: the flux of continuity. The Infinite is no more a quantity than Zero is a quantity. If Zero is the sign of a vanished quantity, the Infinite is a sign of that continuity of Existence which has been ideally divided into discrete parts in the affixing of limits." (George H. Lewes, "Problems of Life and Mind", 1873)

"To the thought of considering the infinitely great not merely in the form of what grows without limits - and in the closely related form of the convergent infinite series first introduced in the seventeenth century-, but also fixing it mathematically by numbers in the determinate form of the completed-infinite, I have been logically compelled in the course of scientific exertions and attempts which have lasted many years, almost against my will, for it contradicts traditions which had become precious to me; and therefore I believe that no arguments can be made good against it which I would not know how to meet." (Georg Cantor, "Grundlagen einer allgemeinen Mannigfaltigkeitslehre", 1883)

"Between mathematicians and astronomers some misunderstanding exists with respect to the meaning of the term 'convergence'. Mathematicians [...] stipulate that a series is convergent if the sum of the terms tends to a predetermined limit even if the first terms decrease very slowly. Conversely, astronomers are in the habit of saying that a series converges whenever the first twenty terms, for example, decrease rapidly even if the following terms might increase indefinitely. [...] Both rules are legitimate; the first for theoretical research and the second for numerical applications. Both must prevail, but in two entirely separate domains of which the boundaries must be accurately defined. Astronomers do not always know these boundaries accurately but rarely exceed them; the approximation with which they are satisfied usually keeps them far on this side of the boundary. In addition, their instinct guides them and, if they are wrong, a check on the actual observation promptly reveals their error [...]" (Henri Poincaré, "New Methods in Celestial Mechanics" ["Les méthodes nouvelles de la mécanique céleste"], 1892)

"The underlying notion of the integral calculus is also that of finding a limiting value, but this time it is the limiting value of a sum of terms when the number of terms increases without bound at the same time that the numerical value of each term approaches Zero. The area bounded by one or more curves is found as the limiting value of a sum of small rectangles; the length of an arc of a curve is found as the limiting value of a sum of lengths of straight lines (chords of the arc); the volume of a solid bounded by one or more curved surfaces is found as the limiting value of a sum of volumes of small solids bounded by planes; etc." (Mayme I Logsdon, "A Mathematician Explains", 1935)

"Mathematics has, of course, given the solution of the difficulties in terms of the abstract concept of converging infinite series. In a certain metaphysical sense this notion of convergence does not answer Zeno’s argument, in that it does not tell how one is to picture an infinite number of magnitudes as together making up only a finite magnitude; that is, it does not give an intuitively clear and satisfying picture, in terms of sense experience, of the relation subsisting between the infinite series and the limit of this series." (Carl B Boyer, "The History of the Calculus and Its Conceptual Development", 1959)

"Central to the development of the calculus were the concepts of convergence and limit, and with these concepts at hand it became at last possible to resolve the ancient paradoxes of infinity which had so much intrigued Zeno." (Eli Maor, "To Infinity and Beyond: A Cultural History of the Infinite", 1987)

"At the basis of the distance concept lies, for example, the concept of convergent point sequence and their defined limits, and one can, by choosing these ideas as those fundamental to point set theory, eliminate the notions of distance." (Felix Hausdorff)

28 February 2022

🪸On Systems Thinking: On Limits

"Clearly, if the state of the system is coupled to parameters of an environment and the state of the environment is made to modify parameters of the system, a learning process will occur. Such an arrangement will be called a Finite Learning Machine, since it has a definite capacity. It is, of course, an active learning mechanism which trades with its surroundings. Indeed it is the limit case of a self-organizing system which will appear in the network if the currency supply is generalized." (Gordon Pask, "The Natural History of Networks", 1960)

"Taking no action to solve these problems is equivalent of taking strong action. Every day of continued exponential growth brings the world system closer to the ultimate limits of that growth. A decision to do nothing is a decision to increase the risk of collapse." (Donella Meadows et al, "The Limits to Growth", 1972)

"Every day of continued exponential growth brings the world system closer to the ultimate limits of that growth." (Mihajlo D Mesarovic, "Mankind at the Turning Point", 1974)

"In a loosely coupled system there is more room available for self-determination by the actors. If it is argued that a sense of efficacy is crucial for human beings. when a sense of efficacy might be greater in a loosely coupled system with autonomous units than it would be in a tightly coupled system where discretion is limited." (Karl E Weick, "Educational organizations as loosely coupled systems", 1976)

"Prediction of the future is possible only in systems that have stable parameters like celestial mechanics. The only reason why prediction is so successful in celestial mechanics is that the evolution of the solar system has ground to a halt in what is essentially a dynamic equilibrium with stable parameters. Evolutionary systems, however, by their very nature have unstable parameters. They are disequilibrium systems and in such systems our power of prediction, though not zero, is very limited because of the unpredictability of the parameters themselves. If, of course, it were possible to predict the change in the parameters, then there would be other parameters which were unchanged, but the search for ultimately stable parameters in evolutionary systems is futile, for they probably do not exist… Social systems have Heisenberg principles all over the place, for we cannot predict the future without changing it." (Kenneth E Boulding, Evolutionary Economics, 1981)

"The phenomenon of self-organization is not limited to living matter but occurs also in certain chemical systems […] [Ilya] Prigogine has called these systems 'dissipative structures' to express the fact that they maintain and develop structure by breaking down other structures in the process of metabolism, thus creating entropy­ disorder - which is subsequently dissipated in the form of degraded waste products. Dissipative chemical structures display the dynamics of self-organization in its simplest form, exhibiting most of the phenomena characteristic of life self-renewal, adaptation, evolution, and even primitive forms of 'mental' processes." (Fritjof Capra, "The Turning Point: Science, Society, and the Turning Culture", 1982)

"Cellular automata are discrete dynamical systems with simple construction but complex self-organizing behaviour. Evidence is presented that all one-dimensional cellular automata fall into four distinct universality classes. Characterizations of the structures generated in these classes are discussed. Three classes exhibit behaviour analogous to limit points, limit cycles and chaotic attractors. The fourth class is probably capable of universal computation, so that properties of its infinite time behaviour are undecidable." (Stephen Wolfram, "Nonlinear Phenomena, Universality and complexity in cellular automata", Physica 10D, 1984)

"Computational reducibility may well be the exception rather than the rule: Most physical questions may be answerable only through irreducible amounts of computation. Those that concern idealized limits of infinite time, volume, or numerical precision can require arbitrarily long computations, and so be formally undecidable." (Stephen Wolfram, Undecidability and intractability in theoretical physics", Physical Review Letters 54 (8), 1985)

"Regarding stability, the state trajectories of a system tend to equilibrium. In the simplest case they converge to one point (or different points from different initial states), more commonly to one (or several, according to initial state) fixed point or limit cycle(s) or even torus(es) of characteristic equilibrial behaviour. All this is, in a rigorous sense, contingent upon describing a potential, as a special summation of the multitude of forces acting upon the state in question, and finding the fixed points, cycles, etc., to be minima of the potential function. It is often more convenient to use the equivalent jargon of 'attractors' so that the state of a system is 'attracted' to an equilibrial behaviour. In any case, once in equilibrial conditions, the system returns to its limit, equilibrial behaviour after small, arbitrary, and random perturbations." (Gordon Pask, "Different Kinds of Cybernetics", 1992)

"Systems, acting dynamically, produce (and incidentally, reproduce) their own boundaries, as structures which are complementary (necessarily so) to their motion and dynamics. They are liable, for all that, to instabilities chaos, as commonly interpreted of chaotic form, where nowadays, is remote from the random. Chaos is a peculiar situation in which the trajectories of a system, taken in the traditional sense, fail to converge as they approach their limit cycles or 'attractors' or 'equilibria'. Instead, they diverge, due to an increase, of indefinite magnitude, in amplification or gain." (Gordon Pask, "Different Kinds of Cybernetics", 1992)

"In spite of the insurmountable computational limits, we continue to pursue the many problems that possess the characteristics of organized complexity. These problems are too important for our well being to give up on them. The main challenge in pursuing these problems narrows down fundamentally to one question: how to deal with systems and associated problems whose complexities are beyond our information processing limits? That is, how can we deal with these problems if no computational power alone is sufficient?"  (George Klir, "Fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic", 1995)

"The dimensionality and nonlinearity requirements of chaos do not guarantee its appearance. At best, these conditions allow it to occur, and even then under limited conditions relating to particular parameter values. But this does not imply that chaos is rare in the real world. Indeed, discoveries are being made constantly of either the clearly identifiable or arguably persuasive appearance of chaos. Most of these discoveries are being made with regard to physical systems, but the lack of similar discoveries involving human behavior is almost certainly due to the still developing nature of nonlinear analyses in the social sciences rather than the absence of chaos in the human setting."  (Courtney Brown, "Chaos and Catastrophe Theories", 1995)

"Limiting factors in population dynamics play the role in ecology that friction does in physics. They stop exponential growth, not unlike the way in which friction stops uniform motion. Whether or not ecology is more like physics in a viscous liquid, when the growth-rate-based traditional view is sufficient, is an open question. We argue that this limit is an oversimplification, that populations do exhibit inertial properties that are noticeable. Note that the inclusion of inertia is a generalization - it does not exclude the regular rate-based, first-order theories. They may still be widely applicable under a strong immediate density dependence, acting like friction in physics." (Lev Ginzburg & Mark Colyvan, "Ecological Orbits: How Planets Move and Populations Grow", 2004)

"A population that grows logistically, initially increases exponentially; then the growth lows down and eventually approaches an upper bound or limit. The most well-known form of the model is the logistic differential equation." (Linda J S Allen, "An Introduction to Mathematical Biology", 2007)

"The methodology of feedback design is borrowed from cybernetics (control theory). It is based upon methods of controlled system model’s building, methods of system states and parameters estimation (identification), and methods of feedback synthesis. The models of controlled system used in cybernetics differ from conventional models of physics and mechanics in that they have explicitly specified inputs and outputs. Unlike conventional physics results, often formulated as conservation laws, the results of cybernetical physics are formulated in the form of transformation laws, establishing the possibilities and limits of changing properties of a physical system by means of control." (Alexander L Fradkov, "Cybernetical Physics: From Control of Chaos to Quantum Control", 2007)

"A characteristic of such chaotic dynamics is an extreme sensitivity to initial conditions (exponential separation of neighboring trajectories), which puts severe limitations on any forecast of the future fate of a particular trajectory. This sensitivity is known as the ‘butterfly effect’: the state of the system at time t can be entirely different even if the initial conditions are only slightly changed, i.e., by a butterfly flapping its wings." (Hans J Korsch et al, "Chaos: A Program Collection for the PC", 2008)

"A quantity growing exponentially toward a limit reaches that limit in a surprisingly short time." (Donella Meadows, "Thinking in systems: A Primer", 2008)

"A typical complex system consists of a vast number of identical copies of several generic processes, which are operating and interacting only locally or with a limited number of not necessary close neighbours. There is no global leader or controller associated to such systems and the resulting behaviour is usually very complex." (Jirí Kroc & Peter M A Sloot, "Complex Systems Modeling by Cellular Automata", Encyclopedia of Artificial Intelligence, 2009)

"Strange attractors, unlike regular ones, are geometrically very complicated, as revealed by the evolution of a small phase-space volume. For instance, if the attractor is a limit cycle, a small two-dimensional volume does not change too much its shape: in a direction it maintains its size, while in the other it shrinks till becoming a 'very thin strand' with an almost constant length. In chaotic systems, instead, the dynamics continuously stretches and folds an initial small volume transforming it into a thinner and thinner 'ribbon' with an exponentially increasing length." (Massimo Cencini et al, "Chaos: From Simple Models to Complex Systems", 2010)

"We are beginning to see the entire universe as a holographically interlinked network of energy and information, organically whole and self-referential at all scales of its existence. We, and all things in the universe, are non-locally connected with each other and with all other things in ways that are unfettered by the hitherto known limitations of space and time." (Ervin László, "Cosmos: A Co-creator's Guide to the Whole-World", 2010)

"It should also be noted that the novel information generated by interactions in complex systems limits their predictability. Without randomness, complexity implies a particular non-determinism characterized by computational irreducibility. In other words, complex phenomena cannot be known a priori." (Carlos Gershenson, "Complexity", 2011)

"Complexity scientists concluded that there are just too many factors - both concordant and contrarian - to understand. And with so many potential gaps in information, almost nobody can see the whole picture. Complex systems have severe limits, not only to predictability but also to measurability. Some complexity theorists argue that modelling, while useful for thinking and for studying the complexities of the world, is a particularly poor tool for predicting what will happen." (Lawrence K Samuels, "Defense of Chaos: The Chaology of Politics, Economics and Human Action", 2013)

"A limit cycle is an isolated closed trajectory. Isolated means that neighboring trajectories are not closed; they spiral either toward or away from the limit cycle. If all neighboring trajectories approach the limit cycle, we say the limit cycle is stable or attracting. Otherwise the limit cycle is unstable, or in exceptional cases, half-stable. Stable limit cycles are very important scientifically - they model systems that exhibit self-sustained oscillations. In other words, these systems oscillate even in the absence of external periodic forcing." (Steven H Strogatz, "Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos: With Applications to Physics, Biology, Chemistry, and Engineering", 2015)

25 January 2021

On Continuity II (Topology)

"Things are called continuous when the touching limits of each become one and the same and are contained in each other. Continuity is impossible if these extremities are two. […] Continuity belongs to things that naturally in virtue of their mutual contact form a unity. And in whatever way that which holds them together is one, so too will the whole be one."(Aristotle, "Physics", cca. 350 BC)

"When what surrounds, then, is not separate from the thing, but is in continuity with it, the thing is said to be in what surrounds it, not in the sense of in place, but as a part in a whole. But when the thing is separate or in contact, it is immediately ‘in’ the inner surface of the surrounding body, and this surface is neither a part of what is in it nor yet greater than its extension, but equal to it; for the extremities of things which touch are coincident." (Aristotle, "Physics", cca. 350 BC)

"I hold: 1) that small portions of space are, in fact, of a nature analogous to little hills on a surface that is on the average fiat; namely, that the ordinary laws of geometry are not valid in them; 2) that this property of being curved or distorted is constantly being passed on from one portion of space to another after the manner of a wave; 3) that this variation of the curvature of space is what really happens in the phenomenon that we call the motion of matter, whether ponderable or ethereal; 4) that in the physical world nothing else takes place but this variation, subject (possibly) to the law of continuity." (William K Clifford, "On the Space Theory of Matter", [paper delivered before the Cambridge Philosophical Society, 1870)

"This is just the idea given above: to divide space, cuts that are called surfaces are necessary; to divide surfaces, cuts that are called lines are necessary; to divide lines, cuts that are called points are necessary; we can go no further and a point can not be divided, a point not being a continuum. Then lines, which can be divided by cuts which are not continua, will be continua of one dimension; surfaces, which can be divided by continuous cuts of one dimension, will be continua of two dimensions; and finally space, which can be divided by continuous cuts of two dimensions, will be a continuum of three dimensions." (Henri Poincaré, 1912)

"That branch of mathematics which deals with the continuity properties of two- (and more) dimensional manifolds is called analysis situs or topology. […] Two manifolds must be regarded as equivalent in the topological sense if they can be mapped point for point in a reversibly neighborhood-true (topological) fashion on each other." (Hermann Weyl, "The Concept of a Riemann Surface", 1913)

"In topology we are concerned with geometrical facts that do not even involve the concepts of a straight line or plane but only the continuous connectiveness between points of a figure." (David Hilbert, "Geometry and Imagination", 1952)

"General or point set topology can be thought of as the abstract study of the ideas of nearness and continuity. This is done in the first place by picking out in elementary geometry those properties of nearness that seem to be fundamental and taking them as axioms." (Andrew H Wallace, "Differential Topology: First Steps", 1968)

"The major strength of catastrophe theory is to provide a qualitative topology of the general structure of discontinuities. Its major weakness is that it frequently is not associated with specific models allowing precise quantitative prediction, although such are possible in principle." (J Barkley Rosser Jr., "From Catastrophe to Chaos: A General Theory of Economic Discontinuities", 1991)

"[...] if we consider a topological space instead of a plane, then the question of whether the coordinates axes in that space are curved or straight becomes meaningless. The way we choose coordinate systems is related to the way we observe the property of smoothness in a topological space." (Kenji Ueno & Toshikazu Sunada, "A Mathematical Gift, III: The Interplay Between Topology, Functions, Geometry, and Algebra", Mathematical World Vol. 23, 1996)

"The property of smoothness includes the property of continuity. The notion of a topological space was born from the development of abstract algebra as a universal notion for the property of continuity." (Kenji Ueno & Toshikazu Sunada, "A Mathematical Gift, III: The Interplay Between Topology, Functions, Geometry, and Algebra", Mathematical World Vol. 23, 1996)

"A continuous function preserves closeness of points. A discontinuous function maps arbitrarily close points to points that are not close. The precise definition of continuity involves the relation of distance between pairs of points. […] continuity, a property of functions that allows stretching, shrinking, and folding, but preserves the closeness relation among points." (Robert Messer & Philip Straffin, "Topology Now!", 2006)

"Topology is the study of geometric objects as they are transformed by continuous deformations. To a topologist the general shape of the objects is of more importance than distance, size, or angle." (Robert Messer & Philip Straffin, "Topology Now!", 2006)

"[…] topology is the study of those properties of geometric objects which remain unchanged under bi-uniform and bi-continuous transformations. Such transformations can be thought of as bending, stretching, twisting or compressing or any combination of these." (Lokenath Debnath, "The Legacy of Leonhard Euler - A Tricentennial Tribute", 2010)

"Topology is a geometry in which all lengths, angles, and areas can be distorted at will. Thus a triangle can be continuously transformed into a rectangle, the rectangle into a square, the square into a circle, and so on. Similarly, a cube can be transformed into a cylinder, the cylinder into a cone, the cone into a sphere. Because of these continuous transformations, topology is known popularly as 'rubber sheet geometry'. All figures that can be transformed into each other by continuous bending, stretching, and twisting are called 'topologically equivalent'." (Fritjof Capra, "The Systems View of Life: A Unifying Vision", 2014)

"Topology is an elastic version of geometry that retains the idea of continuity but relaxes rigid metric notions of distance." (Samuel Eilenberg)

30 June 2020

On Ecology VI

"Ecology is the scientific study of the interactions that determine the distribution and abundance of organisms." (Charles J Krebs, "Ecology", 1972)

"Ecology, on the other hand, is messy. We cannot find anything deserving of the term law, not because ecology is less developed than physics, but simply because the underlying phenomena are more chaotic and hence less amenable to description via generalization." (Lev Ginzburg & Mark Colyvan," Ecological Orbits: How Planets Move and Populations Grow", 2004)

"Limiting factors in population dynamics play the role in ecology that friction does in physics. They stop exponential growth, not unlike the way in which friction stops uniform motion. Whether or not ecology is more like physics in a viscous liquid, when the growth-rate-based traditional view is sufficient, is an open question. We argue that this limit is an oversimplification, that populations do exhibit inertial properties that are noticeable. Note that the inclusion of inertia is a generalization - it does not exclude the regular rate-based, first-order theories. They may still be widely applicable under a strong immediate density dependence, acting like friction in physics." (Lev Ginzburg & Mark Colyvan, "Ecological Orbits: How Planets Move and Populations Grow", 2004)

"An ecology provides the special formations needed by organizations. Ecologies are: loose, free, dynamic, adaptable, messy, and chaotic. Innovation does not arise through hierarchies. As a function of creativity, innovation requires trust, openness, and a spirit of experimentation - where random ideas and thoughts can collide for re-creation." (George Siemens, "Knowing Knowledge", 2006)

"Knowledge flow can be likened to a river that meanders through the ecology of an organization. In certain areas, the river pools and in other areas it ebbs. The health of the learning ecology of the organization depends on effective nurturing of flow." (George Siemens, "Knowing Knowledge", 2006)

"[ecology:] the scientific study of the distribution and abundance of organisms and the interactions that determine distribution and abundance." (Michael Begon et al, "Ecology: From individuals to ecosystems", 2006)

"The living world can be viewed as a biological hierarchy that starts with subcellular particles, and continues up through cells, tissues and organs. Ecology deals with the next three levels: the individual organism, the population (consisting of individuals of the same species) and the community (consisting of a greater or lesser number of species populations). At the level of the organism, ecology deals with how individuals are affected by (and how they affect) their environment. At the level of the population, ecology is concerned with the presence or absence of particular species, their abundance or rarity, and with the trends and fluctuations in their numbers. Community ecology then deals with the composition and organization of ecological communities." (Michael Begon et al, "Ecology: From individuals to ecosystems", 2006)

"In ecology, we are often interested in exploring the behavior of whole systems of species or ecosystem composed of individual components which interact through biological processes. We are interested not simply in the dynamics of each species or component in isolation, but the dynamics of each species or component in the context of all the others and how those coupled dynamics account for properties of the system as a whole, such as its persistence. This is what people seem to mean when they say that ecology is ‘holistic’, an otherwise rather vague term." (John Pastor, "Mathematical Ecology of Populations and Ecosystems", 2008)

"Much of what we deal with in ecology are rates of change of biological objects: growth of an organism, decay of a dead leaf, fluctuations in populations, accumulation or erosion of soil, increases or decreases in lake levels, etc. But rates of change are some of the hardest things to measure. What we measure are static properties such as the sizes of objects at different times and then infer that change has taken place between those two measurements." (John Pastor, "Mathematical Ecology of Populations and Ecosystems", 2008)

"Therefore, mathematical ecology does not deal directly with natural objects. Instead, it deals with the mathematical objects and operations we offer as analogs of nature and natural processes. These mathematical models do not contain all information about nature that we may know, but only what we think are the most pertinent for the problem at hand. In mathematical modeling, we have abstracted nature into simpler form so that we have some chance of understanding it. Mathematical ecology helps us understand the logic of our thinking about nature to help us avoid making plausible arguments that may not be true or only true under certain restrictions. It helps us avoid wishful thinking about how we would like nature to be in favor of rigorous thinking about how nature might actually work." (John Pastor, "Mathematical Ecology of Populations and Ecosystems", 2008)

25 May 2020

Donella H Meadows - Collected Quotes

"Everything we think we know about the world is a model. Every word and every language is a model. All maps and statistics, books and databases, equations and computer programs are models. So are the ways I picture the world in my head - my mental models. None of these is or ever will be the real world. […] Our models usually have a strong congruence with the world. That is why we are such a successful species in the biosphere. Especially complex and sophisticated are the mental models we develop from direct, intimate experience of nature, people, and organizations immediately around us." (Donella H Meadows, "Limits to Growth", 1972)

"However, and conversely, our models fall far short of representing the world fully. That is why we make mistakes and why we are regularly surprised. In our heads, we can keep track of only a few variables at one time. We often draw illogical conclusions from accurate assumptions, or logical conclusions from inaccurate assumptions. Most of us, for instance, are surprised by the amount of growth an exponential process can generate. Few of us can intuit how to damp oscillations in a complex system." (Donella H Meadows, "Limits to Growth", 1972)

"Technology can relieve the symptoms of a problem without affecting the underlying causes. Faith in technology as the ultimate solution to all problems can thus divert our attention from the most fundamental problem - the problem of growth in a finite system - and prevent us from taking effective action to solve it." (Donella H Meadows, "The Limits to Growth", 1972)

"Models can easily become so complex that they are impenetrable, unexaminable, and virtually unalterable." (Donella H Meadows, "The unavoidable a priori", 1980)

"The world is a complex, interconnected, finite, ecological–social–psychological–economic system. We treat it as if it were not, as if it were divisible, separable, simple, and infinite. Our persistent, intractable global problems arise directly from this mismatch." (Donella H Meadows, "Whole Earth Models and System", 1982)

"A quantity growing exponentially toward a limit reaches that limit in a surprisingly short time." (Donella Meadows, "Thinking in systems: A Primer", 2008)

"A system is a set of things - people, cells, molecules, or whatever - interconnected in such a way that they produce their own pattern of behavior over time. […] The system, to a large extent, causes its own behavior." (Donella H Meadows, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008) 

"In fact, one of the most frustrating aspects of systems is that the purposes of subunits may add up to an overall behavior that no one wants." (Donella H Meadows, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)"

"In physical, exponentially growing systems, there must be at least one reinforcing loop driving growth and at least one balancing feedback loop constraining growth, because no system can grow forever in a finite environment." (Donella H Meadows, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)

"Let's face it, the universe is messy. It is nonlinear, turbulent, and chaotic. It is dynamic. It spends its time in transient behavior on its way to somewhere else, not in mathematically neat equilibria. It self-organizes and evolves. It creates diversity, not uniformity. That's what makes the world interesting, that's what makes it beautiful, and that's what makes it work." (Donella H Meadow, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)

"Like resilience, self-organizazion is often sacrificed for purposes of short-term productivity and stability." (Donella H Meadows, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)

"[…] our mental models fail to take into account the complications of the real world - at least those ways that one can see from a systems perspective. It is a warning list. Here is where hidden snags lie. You can’t navigate well in an interconnected, feedback-dominated world unless you take your eyes off short-term events and look for long-term behavior and structure; unless you are aware of false boundaries and bounded rationality; unless you take into account limiting factors, nonlinearities and delays. You are likely to mistreat, misdesign, or misread systems if you don’t respect their properties of resilience, self-organization, and hierarchy." (Donella H Meadows, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)
"The world is nonlinear. Trying to make it linear for our mathematical or administrative convenience is not usually a good idea even when feasible, and it is rarely feasible." (Donella H Meadow, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)

"The bounded rationality of each actor in a system may not lead to decisions that further the welfare of the system as a whole." (Donella H Meadows, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)

"When there are long delays in feedback loops, some sort of foresight is essential." (Donella H Meadows, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)

"You can’t navigate well in an interconnected, feedback-dominated world unless you take your eyes off short-term events and look for long term behavior and structure; unless you are aware of false boundaries and bounded rationality; unless you take into account limiting factors, nonlinearities and delays." (Donella H Meadow, "Thinking in Systems: A Primer", 2008)

16 February 2020

From Parts to Wholes (1800-1849)

"In every moment of her duration Nature is one connected whole; in every moment each individual part must be what it is, because all the others are what they are; and you could not remove a single grain of sand from its place, without thereby, although perhaps imperceptibly to you, altering something throughout all parts of the immeasurable whole." (Johann G Fichte, "The Vocation of Man”, 1800)

"It is the destiny of our race to become united into one great body, thoroughly connected in all its parts, and possessed of similar culture. Nature, and even the passions and vices of Man, have from the beginning tended towards this end. A great part of the way towards it is already passed, and we may surely calculate that it will in time be reached." (Johann G Fichte, "The Vocation of Man", 1800)


"It is probable that what we call thought is not an actual being, but no more than the relation between certain parts of that infinitely varied mass, of which the rest of the universe is composed, and which ceases to exist as soon as those parts change their position with regard to each other." (Percy B Shelley, "On a Future State", 1815)


"Each of the parts of philosophy is a philosophical whole, a circle rounded and complete in itself. In each of these parts, however, the philosophical Idea is found in a particular specificality or medium. The single circle, because it is a real totality, bursts through the limits imposed by its special medium, and gives rise to a wider circle. The whole of philosophy in this way resembles a circle of circles. The Idea appears in each single circle, but, at the same time, the whole Idea is constituted by the system of these peculiar phases, and each is a necessary member of the organisation." (Georg W F Hegel, "Encyclopedia of the Philosophical Sciences", 1816)


"When the whole and the parts are seen at once, as mutually producing and explaining each other, as unity in multeity, there results shapeliness." (Samuel T Coleridge, "Letters", 1836)


"Science is nothing but the finding of analogy, identity, in the most remote parts." (Ralph W Emerson, 1837)


"So far we have studies how, for each commodity by itself, the law of demand in connection with the conditions of production of that commodity, determines the price of it and regulates the incomes of its producers. We considered as given and invariable the prices of other commodities and the incomes of other producers; but, in reality the economic system is a whole of which the parts are connected and react on each other. An increase in the incomes of the producers of commodity A will affect the demand for commodities Band C, etc., and the incomes of their producers, and, by its reaction will involve a change in the demand for A. It seems, therefore, as if, for a complete and rigorous solution of the problems relative to some parts of the economic system, it were indispensable to take the entire system into consideration. But this would surpass the powers of mathematical analysis and of our practical methods of calculation, even if the values of all the constants could be assigned to them numerically." (Antoine A Cournot, "Researches into the Mathematical Principles of the Theory of Wealth", 1838)

"The component parts of a vegetable or animal substance do not lose their mechanical and chemical properties as separate agents, when, by a peculiar mode of juxtaposition, they, as an aggregate whole, acquire physiological or vital properties in addition. Those bodies continue, as before, to obey mechanical and chemical laws, in so far as the operation of those laws is not counteracted by the new laws which govern them as organized beings. […] Though there are laws which, like those of chemistry and physiology, owe their existence to a breach of the principle of Composition of Causes, it does not follow that these peculiar, or, as they might be termed, heteropathic laws, are not capable of composition with one another." (John S Mill, "A System of Logic: Ratioconative and Inductive", 1843) [the heteropathic laws is synonymous with emergence]

05 February 2020

On Spacetime (1800-1849)

"Is it not truly wonderful, that, in the constitution of the universe, time and space should every where be so happily combined, that notwithstanding the infinity of wheels and springs which mutually depend on each other, and which are all necessary to the play of the machine, the visible order of nature should, nevertheless, every where preserve the same air of simplicity aud uniformity." (Johann H Lambert, "The System of the World", 1800)

"Genius and science have burst the limits of space, and few observations, explained by just reasoning, have unveiled the mechanism of the universe. Would it not also be glorious for man to burst the limits of time, and, by a few observations, to ascertain the history of this world, and the series of events which preceded the birth of the human race?" (Georges Cuvier, "Essays on the Theory of the Earth", 1822)

"History in general is therefore the development of Spirit in Time, as Nature is the development of the Idea is Space." (Georg W F Hegel, "Lectures on the Philosophy of History", 1837)

"Yet time and space are but inverse measures of the force of the soul. The spirit sports with time." (Ralph W Emerson, "Essays", 1841)

"Great distance in either time or space has wonderful power to lull and render quiescent the human mind." (Abraham Lincoln, [An Address Delivered by Abraham Lincoln], 1842)

"Poetry is the universal art of the spirit which has become free in itself and which is not tied down for its realization to external sensuous material; instead, it launches out exclusively in the inner space and the inner time of ideas and feelings." (G W Friedrich Hegel, "Introduction to Aesthetics", 1842)

"Language has time as its element; all other media have space as their element." (Søren Kierkegaard, "Either/Or: A Fragment of Life", 1843)


02 December 2019

Nancy Cartwright - Collected Quotes

"A model is a work of fiction. Some properties ascribed to objects in the model will be genuine properties of the objects modelled, but others will be merely properties of convenience. […] Some of the properties and relations in a model will be real properties, in the sense that other objects in other situations might genuinely have them. But they are introduced into this model as a convenience, to bring the objects modelled into the range of the mathematical theory." (Nancy Cartwright, "How the Laws of Physics Lie", 1983)

"In physics it is usual to give alternative theoretical treatments of the same phenomenon. We construct different models for different purposes, with different equations to describe them. Which is the right model, which the 'true' set of equations? The question is a mistake. One model brings out some aspects of the phenomenon; a different model brings out others. Some equations give a rougher estimate for a quantity of interest, but are easier to solve. No single model serves all purposes best." (Nancy Cartwright, "How the Laws of Physics Lie", 1983)

"Scientific theories must tell us both what is true in nature, and how we are to explain it. I shall argue that these are entirely different functions and should be kept distinct. […] Scientific theories are thought to explain by dint of the descriptions they give of reality. […] The covering-law model supposes that all we need to know are the laws of nature - and a little logic, perhaps a little probability theory - and then we know which factors can explain which others." (Nancy Cartwright, "How the Laws of Physics Lie", 1983)

"The appearance of truth [of fundamental laws] comes from a bad model of explanation, a model that ties laws directly to reality. As an alternative to the conventional picture I propose a simulacrum account of explanation. The route from theory to reality is from theory to model, and then from model to phenomenological law. The phenomenological laws are indeed true of the objects in reality – or might be; but the fundamental laws are true only of objects in the model." (Nancy Cartwright,  "How the Laws of Physics Lie", 1983)

"The two senses of ‘realistic’ act at different levels. The first bears on the relation between the model and the world. The model is realistic if it presents an accurate picture of the situation modelled: it describes the real constituents of the system - the substances and fields that make it up - and ascribes to them characteristics and relations that actually obtain. The second sense bears on the relation between the end model and the mathematics. A fundamental theory must supply a criterion for what is to count as explanatory. Relative to that criterion the model is realistic if it explains the mathematical representation." (Nancy Cartwright, "How the Laws of Physics Lie", 1983)

"To call a model an idealization is to suggest that the model is a simplification of what occurs in reality, usually a simplification which omits some relevant features, such as the extended mass of the planets or, in the example of the circuit model, the resistance in the bypass capacitor. Sometimes the omitted factors make only an insignificant contribution to the effect under study. But that does not seem to be essential to idealizations, especially to the idealizations that in the end are applied by engineers to study real things. In calling something an idealization it seems not so important that the contributions from omitted factors be small, but that they be ones for which we know how to correct. If the idealization is to be of use, when the time comes to apply it to a real system we had better know how to add back the contributions of the factors that have been left out. In that case the use of idealizations does not seem to counter realism: either the omitted factors do not matter much, or in principle we know how to treat them." (Nancy Cartwright, "How the Laws of Physics Lie", 1983)


"Physics is like that. It is important that the models we construct allow us to draw the right conclusions about the behaviour of the phenomena and their causes. But it is not essential that the models accurately describe everything that actually happens; and in general it will not be possible for them to do so, and for much the same reasons. The requirements of the theory constrain what can be literally represented. This does not mean that the right lessons cannot be drawn. Adjustments are made where literal correctness does not matter very much in order to get the correct effects where we want them; and very often, as in the staging example, one distortion is put right by another. That is why it often seems misleading to say that a particular aspect of a model is false to reality: given the other constraints that is just the way to restore the representation." (Nancy Cartwright, "How the Laws of Physics Lie", 1983)

"Partial models, imperfect as they may be, are the only means developed by science for understanding the universe. This statement does not imply an attitude of defeatism but the recognition that the main tool of science is the human mind and that the human mind is finite." (Nancy Cartwright, "The Dappled World: A Study of the Boundaries of Science", 1999)

11 October 2019

Map vs. Territory II

"We say the map is different from the territory. But what is the territory? Operationally, somebody went out with a retina or a measuring stick and made representations which were then put on paper. What is on the paper map is a representation of what was in the retinal representation of the man who made the map; and as you push the question back, what you find is an infinite regress, an infinite series of maps. The territory never gets in at all. […] Always, the process of representation will filter it out so that the mental world is only maps of maps, ad infinitum." (Gregory Bateson, "Steps to an Ecology of Mind", 1972)

"For our purposes, a simple way to understand paradigms is to see them as maps. We all know that ‘the map is not the territory’. A map is simply an explanation of certain aspects of the territory. That’s exactly what a paradigm is. It is a theory, an explanation, or model of something else." (Stephen R Covey, "The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People", 1989)

"Principles are the territory. Values are maps. When we value correct principles, we have truth - a knowledge of things as they are." (Stephen R Covey, "The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People", 1989)

"Today abstraction is no longer that of the map, the double, the mirror, or the concept. Simulation is no longer that of a territory, a referential being or substance. It is the generation by models of a real without origin or reality: A hyperreal. The territory no longer precedes the map, nor does it survive it. It is nevertheless the map that precedes the territory - precession of simulacra - that engenders the territory." (Baudrillard Jean, "Simulacra and Simulation", 1981)

"The ultimate metaphysical secret, if we dare state it so simply, is that there are no boundaries in the universe. Boundaries are illusions, products not of reality but of the way we map and edit reality. And while it is fine to map out the territory, it is fatal to confuse the two." (Ken Wilber, "No Boundary: Eastern and Western Approaches to Personal Growth", 1979)

"Our view of reality is like a map with which to negotiate the terrain of life. If the map is true and accurate, we will generally know how to get there. If the map is false and inaccurate, we generally will be lost." (M Scott Peck, "Wisdom from the Road Less Traveled", 2001)

"A map does not just replicate the shape of a territory; rather, it actively inflects and works over that territory." (Steven Shaviro, "Post Cinematic Affect", 2010)

"An all-inclusive model would be like the map in the famous story by Borges - perfect and inclusive because it was identical to the territory it was mapping." (Reuben Hersh,” Mathematics as an Empirical Phenomenon, Subject to Modeling”, 2017) 

14 November 2018

On Numbers: From Zero to Infinity

"A quantity divided by zero becomes a fraction the denominator of which is zero. This fraction is termed an infinite quantity. In this quantity consisting of that which has zero for its divisor, there is no alteration, though many may be inserted or extracted; as no change takes place in the infinite and immutable God when worlds are created or destroyed, though numerous orders of beings are absorbed or put forth." (Bhaskara II, "Bijaganita", 12th century)

"The Infinite is often confounded with the Indefinite, but the two conceptions are diametrically opposed. Instead of being a quantity with unassigned yet assignable limits, the Infinite is not a quantity at all, since it neither admits of augmentation nor diminution, having no assignable limits; it is the operation of continuously withdrawing any limits that may have been assigned: the endless addition of new quantities to the old: the flux of continuity. The Infinite is no more a quantity than Zero is a quantity. If Zero is the sign of a vanished quantity, the Infinite is a sign of that continuity of Existence which has been ideally divided into discrete parts in the affixing of limits." (George H. Lewes, "Problems of Life and Mind", 1873)

"One microscopic glittering point; then another; and another, and still another; they are scarcely perceptible, yet they are enormous. This light is a focus; this focus, a star; this star, a sun; this sun, a universe; this universe, nothing. Every number is zero in the presence of the infinite." (Victor Hugo, “The Toilers of the Sea”, 1874)

"A great deal of misunderstanding is avoided if it be remembered that the terms infinity, infinite, zero, infinitesimal must be interpreted in connexion with their context, and admit a variety of meanings according to the way in which they are defined." (George B Mathews, "Theory of Numbers", 1892)

"Infinity is the land of mathematical hocus pocus. There Zero the magician is king. When Zero divides any number he changes it without regard to its magnitude into the infinitely small [great?], and inversely, when divided by any number he begets the infinitely great [small?]. In this domain the circumference of the circle becomes a straight line, and then the circle can be squared. Here all ranks are abolished, for Zero reduces everything to the same level one way or another. Happy is the kingdom where Zero rules!" (Paul Carus, "The Nature of Logical and Mathematical Thought"; Monist Vol 20, 1910)

"I do not say that the notion of infinity should be banished; I only call attention to its exceptional nature, and this so far as I can see, is due to the part which zero plays in it, and we must never forget that like the irrational it represents a function which possesses a definite character but can never be executed to the finish If we bear in mind the imaginary nature of these functions, their oddities will not disturb us, but if we misunderstand their origin and significance we are confronted by impossibilities.” (Paul Carus, "The Nature of Logical and Mathematical Thought", Monist Vol 20, 1910)

"Each act of creation could be symbolized as a particular product of infinity and zero. From each such product could emerge a particular entity of which the appropriate symbol was a particular number." (Srinivasa Ramanujan)

"If you look at zero you see nothing; but look through it and you will see the world. For zero brings into focus the great, organic sprawl of mathematics, and mathematics in turn the complex nature of things.” (Robert Kaplan, "The Nothing that Is: A Natural History of Zero", 2000)

"Zero is powerful because it is infinity’s twin. They are equal and opposite, yin and yang. They are equally paradoxical and troubling. The biggest questions in science and religion are about nothingness and eternity, the void and the infinite, zero and infinity. The clashes over zero were the battles that shook the foundations of philosophy, of science, of mathematics, and of religion. Underneath every revolution lay a zero - and an infinity." (Charles Seife, "Zero: The Biography of a Dangerous Idea", 2000)

"Zero seems as diaphanous as a fairy’s wing, yet it is as powerful as a black hole. The obverse of infinity, it’s enthroned at the center of the number line - at least as the line is usually drawn - making it a natural center of attention. It has no effect when added to other numbers, as if it were no more substantial than a fleeting thought. But when multiplied times other numbers it seems to exert uncanny power, inexorably sucking them in and making them vanish into itself at the center of things. If you’re into stark simplicity, you can express any number (that is, any number that’s capable of being written out) with the use of zero and just one other number, one." (David Stipp, "A Most Elegant Equation: Euler's Formula and the Beauty of Mathematics", 2017)

26 July 2018

On Topology IV (More on Topology)

"The young mathematical disciple 'topology' might be of some help in making psychology a real science." (Kurt Lewin, Principles of topological psychology, 1936)

"Topology provides the synergetic means of ascertaining the values of any system of experiences. Topology is the science of fundamental pattern and structural relationships of event constellations." (R Buckminster Fuller, "Operating Manual for Spaceship Earth", 1969)

"Topology is not ‘designed to guide us’ in structure. It is this structure." (Jacques Lacan, "L’Étourdit", 1972)

"No other theory known to science [other than superstring theory] uses such powerful mathematics at such a fundamental level. […] because any unified field theory first must absorb the Riemannian geometry of Einstein’s theory and the Lie groups coming from quantum field theory. […] The new mathematics, which is responsible for the merger of these two theories, is topology, and it is responsible for accomplishing the seemingly impossible task of abolishing the infinities of a quantum theory of gravity." (Michio Kaku, "Hyperspace", 1995)

"Topology makes it possible to explain the general structure of the set of solutions without even knowing their analytic expression." (Michael I. Monastyrsky, "Riemann, Topology, and Physics" 2nd Ed., 2008)

"At the basis of the distance concept lies, for example, the concept of convergent point sequence and their defined limits, and one can, by choosing these ideas as those fundamental to point set theory, eliminate the notions of distance." (Felix Hausdorff)

"In every subject one looks for the topological and algebraic structures involved, since these structures form a unifying core for the most varied branches of mathematics." (K Weise and H Noack, "Aspects of Topology")

"Mathematicians do not study objects, but relations between objects. Thus, they are free to replace some objects by others so long as the relations remain unchanged. Content to them is irrelevant: they are interested in form only." (Henri Poincaré)

"Poetry and code - and mathematics - make us read differently from other forms of writing. Written poetry makes the silent reader read three kinds of pattern at once; code moves the reader from a static to an active, interactive and looped domain; while algebraic topology allows us to read qualitative forms and their transformations." (Stephanie Strickland)

"Topology is the study of the modal relations of spatial figures and the laws of connectivity, mutual position, and ordering of points, lines, surfaces, and solids and their parts independently of measure and magnitude relations." (Johann B Listing)

31 December 2017

On Statistics: Some Historical Definitions (1901-1950)

"[…] statistics is the science of the measurement of the social organism, regarded as a whole, in all its manifestations." (Sir Arthur L Bowley, "Elements of Statistics", 1901)

"Statistics may rightly be called the science of averages. […] Great numbers and the averages resulting from them, such as we always obtain in measuring social phenomena, have great inertia. […] It is this constancy of great numbers that makes statistical measurement possible. It is to great numbers that statistical measurement chiefly applies." (Sir Arthur L Bowley, "Elements of Statistics", 1901)


"Statistics may, for instance, be called the science of counting. Counting appears at first sight to be a very simple operation, which any one can perform or which can be done automatically; but, as a matter of fact, when we come to large numbers, e.g., the population of the United Kingdom, counting is by no means easy, or within the power of an individual; limits of time and place alone prevent it being so carried out, and in no way can absolute accuracy be obtained when the numbers surpass certain limits." (Sir Arthur L Bowley, "Elements of Statistics", 1901)

"[...] statistics is the science that, through calculation, leads to an understanding of the characteristics of human societies, and its purpose is the study of masses through the enumeration of the units that compose them." (Armand Julin, "Summary for a Course of Statistics, General and Applied, 1910)

"The science of Statistics is the method of judging collective, natural or social phenomenon from the results obtained from the analysis or enumeration or collection of estimates." (Willford I King, "The Elements of Statistical Method", 1912)

"By Statistics we mean aggregate of facts affected to a marked extent by multiplicity of factors [...] and placed in relation to each other." (Horace Secrist, "An Introduction to Statistical Methods", 1917)

"Statistics may be defined as numerical statements of facts by means of which large aggregates are analyzed, the relations of individual units to their groups are ascertained, comparisons are made between groups, and continuous records are maintained for comparative purposes." (Melvin T Copeland. "Statistical Methods" [in: Harvard Business Studies, Vol. III, Ed. by Melvin T Copeland, 1917])

"Statistics may be regarded as (i) the study of populations, (ii) as the study of variation, and (iii) as the study of methods of the reduction of data." (Sir Ronald A Fisher, "Statistical Methods for Research Worker", 1925)

"Statistics is a scientific discipline concerned with collection, analysis, and interpretation of data obtained from observation or experiment. The subject has a coherent structure based on the theory of Probability and includes many different procedures which contribute to research and development throughout the whole of Science and Technology." (Egon Pearson, 1936)

"[Statistics] is both a science and an art. It is a science in that its methods are basically systematic and have general application; and an art in that their successful application depends to a considerable degree on the skill and special experience of the statistician, and on his knowledge of the field of application, e.g. economics." (Leonard H C Tippett, "Statistics", 1943)

"Statistics is the branch of scientific method which deals with the data obtained by counting or measuring the properties of populations of natural phenomena. In this definition 'natural phenomena' includes all the happenings of the external world, whether human or not " (Sir Maurice G Kendall, "Advanced Theory of Statistics", Vol. 1, 1943)

"To some people, statistics is ‘quartered pies, cute little battleships and tapering rows of sturdy soldiers in diversified uniforms’. To others, it is columns and columns of numerical facts. Many regard it as a branch of economics. The beginning student of the subject considers it to be largely mathematics." (The Editors, "Statistics, The Physical Sciences and Engineering", The American Statistician, Vol. 2, No. 4, 1948) [Link]

Further definitions:
1800-1900
1951-2000
2001- …

28 December 2017

Statistics – Some Historical Definitions (1800-1900)

“Il y a, dans la statistique, deux choses qui se trouvent continuellement mélangées, und methode et une science. On emploie la statistique comme methode, toutes les fois que l’on compte on que l’on mesure quelque chose, par example, l’éndendue d’un district, le mobre de habitants d’un pays, la quantité ou le prix de certaines denrées, etc. […] Il y a, de plus, une science de la statistique. Elle consiste à savoir réunir les chiffres, les combiner et les calculer, de la manière la plus propre à conduire à des résultats certains. Mais ceci n’est, à propement parler qu’une branche de mathémetiques.“ (Alphonse P de Candolle, “Considérations sur le statistique des délits” 1833)

“There are two aspects of statistics that are continually mixed, the method and the science. Statistics are used as a method, whenever we measure something, for example, the size of a district, the number of inhabitants of a country, the quantity or price of certain commodities, etc. […] There is, moreover, a science of statistics. It consists of knowing how to gather numbers, combine them and calculate them, in the best way to lead to certain results. But this is, strictly speaking, a branch of mathematics." (Alphonse P de Candolle, “Considerations on Crime Statistics”, 1833)

"[statistics is] that department of political science which is concerned in collecting and arranging facts illustrative of the condition and resources of the state. To reason upon such facts and to draw conclusions from them is not within the province of statistics; but is the business of the statesman and of the political economist." (Penny Cyclopedia, 1842)

“Statistics has then for its object that of presenting a faithful representation of a state at a determined epoch.” (Adolphe Quetelet, 1849) 

"Observations and statistics agree in being quantities grouped about a Mean; they differ, in that the Mean of observations is real, of statistics is fictitious. The mean of observations is a cause, as it were the source from which diverging errors emanate. The mean of statistics is a description, a representative quantity put for a whole group, the best representative of the group, that quantity which, if we must in practice put one quantity for many, minimizes the error unavoidably attending such practice. Thus measurements by the reduction of which we ascertain a real time, number, distance are observations. Returns of prices, exports and imports, legitimate and illegitimate marriages or births and so forth, the averages of which constitute the premises of practical reasoning, are statistics. In short, observations are different copies of one original; statistics are different originals affording one ‘generic portrait’. Different measurements of the same man are observations; but measurements of different men, grouped round l’homme moyen, are prima facie at least statistics." (Francis Y Edgeworth, 1885) 

“[Statistics] are the only tools by which an opening can be cut through the formidable thicket of difficulties that bars the path of those who pursue the Science of man.” (Sir Francis Galton, “Natural Inheritance”, 1889)

Further definitions:
1901-1950
1951-2000
2001- …

29 August 2017

The Infinite from Poet’s Pen

“Nature that framed us of four elements,
Warring within our breasts for regiment,
Doth teach us all to have aspiring minds:
Our souls, whose faculties can comprehend
The wondrous architecture of the world:
And measure every wand’ring planet’s course,
Still climbing after knowledge infinite,
And always moving as the restless spheres,
Wills us to wear ourselves and never rest,
Until we reach the ripest fruit of all,
That perfect bliss and sole felicity,
The sweet fruition of an earthly crown.”
(Christopher Marlowe, “Tamburlaine the Great”, 1590)

 “I could be bounded in a nutshell, and count myself a king of infinite space.” (William Shakespeare, “Hamlet”, cca. 1600)

“There’s nothing of so infinite vexation
As man’s own thoughts.”
(John Webster, “The White Devil”, 1612)

“[Infinity is] […] a dark
llimitable ocean, without bound,
Without dimension; where length, breadth, and height,
And time, and place, are lost…”
(John Milton, “Paradise Lost”, 1667)

“As lines (so loves) oblique may well
Themselves in every angle greet:
But ours so truly parallel,
Though infinite, can never meet.”
(Andrew Marvell, “The Definition of Love”, 1681)

“Even as the finite encloses an infinite series
And in the unlimited limits appear,
So the soul of immensity dwells in minutia
And in narrowest limits no limit in here.
What joy to discern the minute in infinity!
The vast to perceive in the small, what divinity!”
(Jacques Bernoulli, “Ars Conjectandi”, 1713)

“As lines, so loves oblique, may well
Themselves in every angle greet
But ours, so truly parallel,
Though infinite, can never meet.”
(Andrew Marvell, “The Definition of Love”)

“So, Nat’ralists observe, a Flea
Hath smaller Fleas that on him prey,
And these have smaller Fleas to bite ’em
And so proceed, ad infinitum.”
(Jonathan Swift", “On Poetry: a Rhapsody”, 1733)

“If in the infinite you want to stride,
Just walk in the finite to every side.” (Johann Wolfgang von Goethe)
“To see the world in a grain of sand,
And a heaven in a wild flower;
Hold infinity in the palm of your hand,
And eternity in an hour.”
(William Blake, “Auguries of Innocence”, 1803)

“Action is transitory, - a step, a blow,
The motion of a muscle, this way or that -
’Tis done, and in the after-vacancy
We wonder at ourselves like men betrayed:
Suffering is permanent, obscure and dark,
And shares the nature of infinity.”
(William Wordsworth, “The Borderers”, 1842)

“God puts his finger in the other scale,
And up we bounce, a bubble. Nought is great
Nor small, with God; for none but he can make
The atom imperceptible, and none
But he can make a world; he counts the orbs,
He counts the atoms of the universe,
And makes both equal; both are infinite.”
(Philip James Bailey, “Festus", 1845)

“What miracle of weird transforming
Is this wild work of frost and light,
This glimpse of glory infinite!”
(John Greenleaf Whittier, “The Pageant", 1869)

“Great fleas have little fleas upon their backs to bite 'em,
And little fleas have lesser fleas, and so ad infinitum.
And the great fleas themselves, in turn have greater fleas to go on;
While these again have greater still, and greater still, and so on.”
(Augustus de Morgan, “A Budget of Paradoxes”, 1915)

“But the star-glistered salver of infinity,
The circle, blind crucible of endless space,
Is sluiced by motion,-subjugated never.”
(Hart Crane. “The Bridge”, 1930)

“Big whorls have little whorls
Which feed on their velocity,
And little whorls have lesser whorls,
And so on to viscosity.”
(Lewis Richardson)

“All finite things reveal infinitude:
The mountain with its singular bright shade
Like the blue shine on freshly frozen snow,
The after-light upon ice-burdened pines;
Odor of basswood on a mountain-slope,
A scent beloved of bees;
Silence of water above a sunken tree :
The pure serene of memory in one man, --
A ripple widening from a single stone
Winding around the waters of the world.”
(Theodore Roethke, “The Far Field” IV, 1964)

Defining the Infinite

“There is no smallest among the small and no largest among the large;
But always something still smaller and something still larger.” (Anaxagoras)


“A quantity is infinite if it is such that we can always take a part outside what has been already taken.” (Aristotle, Physics)

“For generally the infinite has this mode of existence: one thing is always being taken after another, and each thing that is taken is always finite […].” (Aristotle, Physics)

“What is that thing which does not give itself and which if it were to give itself would not exist? It is the infinite!” (Leonardo da Vinci)

“When we say anything is infinite, we signify only that we are not able to conceive the ends and bounds of the thing named.” (Thomas Hobbes)

“We call infinite that thing whose limits we have not perceived, and so by that word we do not signify what we understand about a thing, but rather what we do not understand.” (René Descartes)

“I protest against the use of infinite magnitude as something completed, which in mathematics is never permissible. Infinity is merely a facon de parler [manner of speaking], the real meaning being a limit which certain ratios approach indefinitely near, while others are permitted to increase without restriction.” (Carl F Gauss, 1831)

“An infinite set is one that can be put into a one-to-one correspondence with a proper subset of itself.” (Georg Cantor)

“The Infinite is often confounded with the Indefinite, but the two conceptions are diametrically opposed. Instead of being a quantity with unassigned yet assignable limits, the Infinite is not a quantity at all, since it neither admits of augmentation nor diminution, having no assignable limits; it is the operation of continuously withdrawing any limits that may have been assigned: the endless addition of new quantities to the old: the flux of continuity. The Infinite is no more a quantity than Zero is a quantity. If Zero is the sign of a vanished quantity, the Infinite is a sign of that continuity of Existence which has been ideally divided into discrete parts in the affixing of limits.” (George H Lewes, “Problems of Life and Mind”, Vol. 2, 1875)

“A collection of terms is infinite when it contains as parts other collections which have just as many terms in it as it has. If you can take away some of the terms of a collection, without diminishing the number of terms, then there is an infinite number of terms in the collection.” (Bertrand Russell. International Monthly, Vol. 4, 1901)
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