"In scientific thought we adopt the simplest theory which will explain all the facts under consideration and enable us to predict facts of the same kind. The catch in this criterion lies in the world 'simplest'." (John B S Haldane, "Possible Worlds and Other Essays", 1928)
"It is characteristic of a good scientific theory that it makes no more assumptions than are needed to explain the facts under consideration and predict a few more." (John B S Haldane, "Possible Worlds and Other Essays", 1928)
"One often hears that successive theories grow ever closer to, or approximate more and more closely to, the truth. Apparently, generalizations like that refer not to the puzzle-solutions and the concrete predictions derived from a theory but rather to its ontology, to the match, that is, between the entities with which the theory populates nature and what is ‘really there’." (Thomas S Kuhn, "The Structure of Scientific Revolutions", 1962)
"A theory in its scientific context is not a static museum piece, but is always being extended and modified to account for new phenomena. […] Moreover, without a model, it will be impossible to use a theory for one of the essential purposes we demand of it, namely to make predictions in new domains of phenomena." (Mary B Hesse," Models and Analogies in Science", 1963)
"It is easy to obtain confirmations, or verifications, for nearly every theory - if we look for confirmations. Confirmations should count only if they are the result of risky predictions. […] A theory which is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific. Irrefutability is not a virtue of a theory (as people often think) but a vice. Every genuine test of a theory is an attempt to falsify it, or refute it." (Karl R Popper, "Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge", 1963)
"One often hears that successive theories grow ever closer to, or approximate more and more closely to, the truth. Apparently, generalizations like that refer not to the puzzle-solutions and the concrete predictions derived from a theory but rather to its ontology, to the match, that is, between the entities with which the theory populates nature and what is ‘really there’." (Thomas S Kuhn, "The Structure of Scientific Revolutions", 1970)
"But a theory is not like an airline or bus timetable. We are not interested simply in the accuracy of its predictions. A theory also serves as a base for thinking. It helps us to understand what is going on by enabling us to organize our thoughts. Faced with a choice between a theory which predicts well but gives us little insight into how the system works and one which gives us this insight but predicts badly, I would choose the latter, and I am inclined to think that most economists would do the same." (Ronald Coase, "How should economists choose?", 1981)
"The ability of a scientific theory to be refuted is the key criterion that distinguishes science from metaphysics. If a theory cannot be refuted, if there is no observation that will disprove it, then nothing can prove it - it cannot predict anything, it is a worthless myth." (Eric Lerner, "The Big Bang Never Happened", 1991)
"Good theories are the ones that get those predictions right; the best theories enable us to 'get right' the calculation of how the Universe came into being and then exploded into its present form. But that doesn’t mean that they convey ultimate truth, or that there ‘really are’ little hard particles rattling around against each other inside the atom. Such truth as there is in any of this work lies in the mathematics; the particle concept is simply a crutch ordinary mortals can use to help them towards an understanding of the mathematical laws." (John R Gribbin, "The Search of Superstrings, Symmetry, and the Theory of Everything", 1998)
"[...] the definitive property of good theory is predictiveness. Those theories endure that are precise in the predictions they make across many phenomena and whose predictions are easiest to test by observation and experiment." (Edward O Wilson, "Consilience: The Unity of Knowledge", 1998)
"A theory is a set of deductively closed propositions that explain and predict empirical phenomena, and a model is a theory that is idealized." (Jay Odenbaugh, "True Lies: Realism, Robustness, and Models", Philosophy of Science, Vol. 78, No. 5, 2011
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