11 August 2026

🦋On Chaos Theory: On Paths

"The term chaos is used in a specific sense where it is an inherently random pattern of behaviour generated by fixed inputs into deterministic" (that is fixed) rules" (relationships). The rules take the form of non-linear feedback loops. Although the specific path followed by the behaviour so generated is random and hence unpredictable in the long-term, it always has an underlying pattern to it, a 'hidden' pattern, a global pattern or rhythm. That pattern is self-similarity, that is a constant degree of variation, consistent variability, regular irregularity, or more precisely, a constant fractal dimension. Chaos is therefore order" (a pattern) within disorder" (random behaviour)." (Ralph D Stacey, "The Chaos Frontier: Creative Strategic Control for Business", 1991)

"One reason nature pleases us is its endless use of a few simple principles: the cube-square law; fractals; spirals; the way that waves, wheels, trig functions, and harmonic oscillators are alike; the importance of ratios between small primes; bilateral symmetry; Fibonacci series, golden sections, quantization, strange attractors, path-dependency, all the things that show up in places where you don’t expect them [...] these rules work with and against each other ceaselessly at all levels, so that out of their intrinsic simplicity comes the rich complexity of the world around us. That tension - between the simple rules that describe the world and the complex world we see - is itself both simple in execution and immensely complex in effect. Thus exactly the levels, mixtures, and relations of complexity that seem to be hardwired into the pleasure centers of the human brain - or are they, perhaps, intrinsic to intelligence and perception, pleasant to anything that can see, think, create? - are the ones found in the world around us." (John Barnes, "Mother of Storms", 1994)

"Complexity is the characteristic property of complicated systems we don’t understand immediately. It is the amount of difficulties we face while trying to understand it. In this sense, complexity resides largely in the eye of the beholder - someone who is familiar with s.th. often sees less complexity than someone who is less familiar with it. [...] A complex system is created by evolutionary processes. There are multiple pathways by which a system can evolve. Many complex systems are similar, but each instance of a system is unique." (Jochen Fromm, The Emergence of Complexity, 2004)

"Chaos can leave statistical footprints that look like noise. This can arise from simple systems that are deterministic and not random. [...] The surprising mathematical fact is that most systems are chaotic. Change the starting value ever so slightly and soon the system wanders off on a new chaotic path no matter how close the starting point of the new path was to the starting point of the old path. Mathematicians call this sensitivity to initial conditions but many scientists just call it the butterfly effect. And what holds in math seems to hold in the real world - more and more systems appear to be chaotic." (Bart Kosko, "Noise", 2006)

"'Chaos' refers to systems that are very sensitive to small changes in their inputs. A minuscule change in a chaotic communication system can flip a 0 to a 1 or vice versa. This is the so-called butterfly effect: Small changes in the input of a chaotic system can produce large changes in the output. Suppose a butterfly flaps its wings in a slightly different way. can change its flight path. The change in flight path can in time change how a swarm of butterflies migrates." (Bart Kosko, "Noise", 2006)

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