On Variables (1980-1989)

"The number of information-carrying (variable) dimensions depicted should not exceed the number of dimensions in the data." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"The formal structure of a decision problem in any area can be put into four parts: (1) the choice of an objective function denning the relative desirability of different outcomes; (2) specification of the policy alternatives which are available to the agent, or decisionmaker, (3) specification of the model, that is, empirical relations that link the objective function, or the variables that enter into it, with the policy alternatives and possibly other variables; and (4) computational methods for choosing among the policy alternatives that one which performs best as measured by the objective function." (Kenneth Arrow, "The Economics of Information", 1984)

"A mechanistic model has the following advantages: 1. It contributes to our scientific understanding of the phenomenon under study. 2. It usually provides a better basis for extrapolation (at least to conditions worthy of further experimental investigation if not through the entire range of all input variables). 3. It tends to be parsimonious (i. e, frugal) in the use of parameters and to provide better estimates of the response." (George E P Box, "Empirical Model-Building and Response Surfaces", 1987)

"Symmetries abound in nature, in technology, and - especially - in the simplified mathematical models we study so assiduously. Symmetries complicate things and simplify them. They complicate them by introducing exceptional types of behavior, increasing the number of variables involved, and making vanish things that usually do not vanish. They simplify them by introducing exceptional types of behavior, increasing the number of variables involved, and making vanish things that usually do not vanish. They violate all the hypotheses of our favorite theorems, yet lead to natural generalizations of those theorems. It is now standard to study the 'generic' behavior of dynamical systems. Symmetry is not generic. The answer is to work within the world of symmetric systems and to examine a suitably restricted idea of genericity." (Ian Stewart, "Bifurcation with symmetry", 1988)

"A system of variables is 'interrelated' if an action that affects or meant to affect one part of the system will also affect other parts of it. Interrelatedness guarantees that an action aimed at one variable will have side effects and long-term repercussions. A large number of variables will make it easy to overlook them." (Dietrich Dorner, "The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations", 1989)

"If we want to solve problems effectively [...] we must keep in mind not only many features but also the influences among them. Complexity is the label we will give to the existence of many interdependent variables in a given system. The more variables and the greater their interdependence, the greater the system's complexity. Great complexity places high demands on a planner's capacity to gather information, integrate findings, and design effective actions. The links between the variables oblige us to attend to a great many features simultaneously, and that, concomitantly, makes it impossible for us to undertake only one action in a complex system." (Dietrich Dorner, "The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations", 1989)

"We might think of complexity could be regarded as an objective attribute of systems. We might even think we could assign a numerical value to it, making it, for instance, the product of the number of features times the number of interrelationships. If a system had ten variables and five links between them, then its 'complexity quotient', measured in this way would be fifty. If there are no links, its complexity quotient would be zero. Such attempts to measure the complexity of a system have in fact been made." (Dietrich Dorner, "The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations", 1989)