23 September 2023

On Graphics II: Statistics

"If statistical graphics, although born just yesterday, extends its reach every day, it is because it replaces long tables of numbers and it allows one not only to embrace at glance the series of phenomena, but also to signal the correspondences or anomalies, to find the causes, to identify the laws." (Émile Cheysson, cca. 1877)

"Figures alone prove or disprove nothing. Only the conclusions drawn from the collected material can do this. And these are theoretical."  (Ludwig von Mises, "Socialism: An Economic and Sociological Analysis", 1922)

"[…] the methods of statistics are so variable and uncertain, so apt to be influenced by circumstances, that it is never possible to be sure that one is operating with figures of equal weight." (Havelock Ellis, "The Dance of Life", 1923)

"Factual science may collect statistics, and make charts. But its predictions are, as has been well said, but past history reversed." (John Dewey, "Art as Experience", 1934)

"Although, the tabular arrangement is the fundamental form for presenting a statistical series, a graphic representation - in a chart or diagram - is often of great aid in the study and reporting of statistical facts. Moreover, sometimes statistical data must be taken, in their sources, from graphic rather than tabular records." (William L Crum et al, "Introduction to Economic Statistics", 1938)

"One of the greatest values of the graphic chart is its use in the analysis of a problem. Ordinarily, the chart brings up many questions which require careful consideration and further research before a satisfactory conclusion can be reached. A properly drawn chart gives a cross-section picture of the situation. While charts may bring out. hidden facts in tables or masses of data, they cannot take the place of careful, analysis. In fact, charts may be dangerous devices when in the hands of those unwilling to base their interpretations upon careful study. This, however, does not detract from their value when they are properly used as aids in solving statistical problems." (John R Riggleman & Ira N Frisbee, "Business Statistics", 1938)

"The technical analysis of any large collection of data is a task for a highly trained and expensive man who knows the mathematical theory of statistics inside and out. Otherwise the outcome is likely to be a collection of drawings - quartered pies, cute little battleships, and tapering rows of sturdy soldiers in diversified uniforms - interesting enough in the colored Sunday supplement, but hardly the sort of thing from which to draw reliable inferences." (Eric T Bell, "Mathematics: Queen and Servant of Science", 1951)

"The primary purpose of a graph is to show diagrammatically how the values of one of two linked variables change with those of the other. One of the most useful applications of the graph occurs in connection with the representation of statistical data." (John F Kenney & E S Keeping, "Mathematics of Statistics" Vol. I 3rd Ed., 1954)

"Every economic and social situation or problem is now described in statistical terms, and we feel that it is such statistics which give us the real basis of fact for understanding and analysing problems and difficulties, and for suggesting remedies. In the main we use such statistics or figures without any elaborate theoretical analysis; little beyond totals, simple averages and perhaps index numbers. Figures have become the language in which we describe our economy or particular parts of it, and the language in which we argue about policy." (Ely Devons, "Essays in Economics", 1961)

"Indeed the language of statistics is rarely as objective as we imagine. The way statistics are presented, their arrangement in a particular way in tables, the juxtaposition of sets of figures, in itself reflects the judgment of the author about what is significant and what is trivial in the situation which the statistics portray." (Ely Devons, "Essays in Economics", 1961)

"Pencil and paper for construction of distributions, scatter diagrams, and run-charts to compare small groups and to detect trends are more efficient methods of estimation than statistical inference that depends on variances and standard errors, as the simple techniques preserve the information in the original data." (W Edwards Deming, "On Probability as Basis for Action", American Statistician Vol. 29 (4), 1975)

"Remember, the primary function of a graph of any kind is to illustrate the relationship between two variables. [...] To draw any graph we must have established some relationship between the two variables. This relationship can be in the form of a formula (equation is the more mathematical term), as we have just seen, or simply a set of observations, as is common in all types of statistical work. Sometimes we develop set of observations and then try to find an equation that expresses, in mathematical language, the relationship between the two variables." (Peter H Selby, "Interpreting Graphs and Tables", 1976)

"Although advice on how and when to draw graphs is available, we have no theory of statistical graphics […]" (Stephen Fienberg, "The American Statistician", Graphical Methods in Statistics Vol. 13 (4), 1979)

"Excellence in statistical graphics consists of complex ideas communicated
with clarity, precision, and efficiency. Graphical displays should
- show the data
- induce the viewer to think about the substance rather than about the
methodology, graphic design, the technology of graphic production,
or something else
- avoid distorting what the data have to say
- present many numbers in a small space
- make large data sets coherent
- encourage the eye to compare different pieces of data
- reveal the data at several levels of detail, from a broad overview to the
- serve a reasonable clear purpose: description, exploration, tabulation,
- be closely integrated." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"Inept graphics also flourish because many graphic artists believe that statistics are boring and tedious. It then follows that decorated graphics must pep up, animate, and all too often exaggerate what evidence there is in the data. […] If the statistics are boring, then you've got the wrong numbers." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"Of course statistical graphics, just like statistical calculations, are only as good as what goes into them. An ill-specified or preposterous model or a puny data set cannot be rescued by a graphic (or by calculation), no matter how clever or fancy. A silly theory means a silly graphic." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"The content and context of the numerical data determines the most appropriate mode of presentation. A few numbers can be listed, many numbers require a table. Relationships among numbers can be displayed by statistics. However, statistics, of necessity, are summary quantities so they cannot fully display the relationships, so a graph can be used to demonstrate them visually. The attractiveness of the form of the presentation is determined by word layout, data structure, and design." (Gerald van Belle, "Statistical Rules of Thumb", 2002)

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