On Coincidence I

"It is no great wonder if in long process of time, while fortune takes her course hither and thither, numerous coincidences should spontaneously occur. If the number and variety of subjects to be wrought upon be infinite, it is all the more easy for fortune, with such an abundance of material, to effect this similarity of results." (Plutarch, Life of Sertorius, 1st century BC)

"We have here spoken of the prediction of facts of the same kind as those from which our rule was collected. But the evidence in favour of our induction is of a much higher and more forcible character when it enables us to explain and determine cases of a kind different from those which were contemplated in the formation of our hypothesis. The instances in which this has occurred, indeed, impress us with a conviction that the truth of our hypothesis is certain. No accident could give rise to such an extraordinary coincidence. No false supposition could, after being adjusted to one class of phenomena, so exactly represent a different class, when the agreement was unforeseen and contemplated. That rules springing from remote and unconnected quarters should thus leap to the same point, can only arise from that being where truth resides." (William Whewell, "The Philosophy of the Inductive Sciences" Vol. 2, 1840)

"Coincidences, in general, are great stumbling blocks in the way of that class of thinkers who have been educated to know nothing of the theory of probabilities - that theory to which the most glorious objects of human research are indebted for the most glorious of illustrations." (Edgar A Poe, "The Murders in the Rue Morgue", 1841)

"We produce these representations in and from ourselves with the same necessity with which the spider spins. If we are forced to comprehend all things only under these forms, then it ceases to be amazing that in all things we actually comprehend nothing but these forms. For they must all bear within themselves the laws of number, and it is precisely number which is most astonishing in things. All that conformity to law, which impresses us so much in the movement of the stars and in chemical processes, coincides at bottom with those properties which we bring to things. Thus it is we who impress ourselves in this way." (Friedrich Nietzsche, "On Truth and Lie in an Extra-Moral Sense", 1873)

"Nothing is more certain in scientific method than that approximate coincidence alone can be expected. In the measurement of continuous quantity perfect correspondence must be accidental, and should give rise to suspicion rather than to satisfaction." (William S Jevons, "The Principles of Science: A Treatise on Logic and Scientific Method", 1874)

"Before we can completely explain a phenomenon we require not only to find its true cause, its chief relations to other causes, and all the conditions which determine how the cause operates, and what its effect and amount of effect are, but also all the coincidences." (George Gore, "The Art of Scientific Discovery", 1878)

"As science progress, it becomes more and more difficult to fit in the new facts when they will not fit in spontaneously. The older theories depend upon the coincidences of so many numerical results which can not be attributed to chance. We should not separate what has been joined together." (Henri Poincaré, "The Ether and Matter", 1912)

"By the laws of statistics we could probably approximate just how unlikely it is that it would happen. But people forget - especially those who ought to know better, such as yourself - that while the laws of statistics tell you how unlikely a particular coincidence is, they state just as firmly that coincidences do happen." (Robert A Heinlein, "The Door Into Summer", 1957)

"It seems to me that it would be either a miracle or an unbelievable coincidence if all the major scientific theories […] somehow managed to co-operate with each other so as to conceal time’s arrow from us. There would be neither a miracle nor an unbelievable coincidence in the concealment of time’s arrow from us only if there were nothing to conceal - that is, if time had no arrows." (Henry Mehlberg) 

"Such properties seem to run through the fabric of the natural world like a thread of happy coincidences. But there are so many odd coincidences essential to life that some explanation seems required to account for them." (Sir Fred Hoyle)