22 April 2021

On Data (1960-1969)

"When evaluating the reliability and generality of data, it is often important to know the aims of the experimenter. When evaluating the importance of experimental results, however, science has a trick of disregarding the experimenter's rationale and finding a more appropriate context for the data than the one he proposed." (Murray Sidman, "Tactics of Scientific Research", 1960)

"If data analysis is to be well done, much of it must be a matter of judgment, and 'theory' whether statistical or non-statistical, will have to guide, not command." (John W Tukey, "The Future of Data Analysis", Annals of Mathematical Statistics Vol. 33 (1), 1962)

"Philosophers of science have repeatedly demonstrated that more than one theoretical construction can always be placed upon a given collection of data." (Thomas Kuhn, "The Structure of Scientific Revolutions", 1962)

"Teaching data analysis is not easy, and the time allowed is always far from sufficient." (John W Tukey, "The Future of Data Analysis", Annals of Mathematical Statistics Vol. 33 (1), 1962)

"The most important maxim for data analysis to heed, and one which many statisticians seem to have shunned is this: ‘Far better an approximate answer to the right question, which is often vague, than an exact answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise.’ Data analysis must progress by approximate answers, at best, since its knowledge of what the problem really is will at best be approximate." (John W Tukey, "The Future of Data Analysis", Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 33, No. 1, 1962)

"The physical sciences are used to 'praying over' their data, examining the same data from a variety of points of view. This process has been very rewarding, and has led to many extremely valuable insights. Without this sort of flexibility, progress in physical science would have been much slower. Flexibility in analysis is often to be had honestly at the price of a willingness not to demand that what has already been observed shall establish, or prove, what analysis suggests. In physical science generally, the results of praying over the data are thought of as something to be put to further test in another experiment, as indications rather than conclusions." (John W Tukey, "The Future of Data Analysis", The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 33 (1), 1962)

"We must include in any language with which we hope to describe complex data-processing situations the capability for describing data." (Grace Hopper, "Management and the Computer of the Future", 1962)

"A theory with mathematical beauty is more likely to be correct than an ugly one that fits some experimental data. " (Paul A M Dirac, Scientific American, 1963)

"Science begins with the world we have to live in, accepting its data and trying to explain its laws. From there, it moves toward the imagination: it becomes a mental construct, a model of a possible way of interpreting experience." (Northrop Frye, "The Educated Imagination", 1963)

"Statistics is the branch of scientific method which deals with the data obtained by counting or measuring the properties of populations of natural phenomena." (Sir Maurice G Kendall & Alan Stuart, "The Advanced Theory of Statistics", 1963)

"The null hypothesis of no difference has been judged to be no longer a sound or fruitful basis for statistical investigation.[...] Significance tests do not provide the information that scientists need, and, furthermore, they are not the most effective method for analyzing and summarizing data." (Cherry A Clark, "Hypothesis Testing in Relation to Statistical Methodology", Review of Educational Research Vol. 33, 1963)

"Data are of high quality if they are fit for their intended use in operations, decision-making, and planning." (Joseph M Juran, 1964)

"It has been said that data collection is like garbage collection: before you collect it you should have in mind what you are going to do with it." (Russell Fox et al, "The Science of Science", 1964)

"The trouble with group theory is that it leaves so much unexplained that one would like to explain. It isolates in a beautiful way those aspects of nature that can be understood in terms of abstract symmetry alone. It does not offer much hope of explaining the messier facts of life, the numerical values of particle lifetimes and interaction strengths - the great bulk of quantitative experimental data that is now waiting for explanation. The process of abstraction seems to have been too drastic, so that many essential and concrete features of the real world have been left out of consideration. Altogether group theory succeeds just because its aims are modest. It does not try to explain everything, and it does not seem likely that it will grow into a complete or comprehensive theory of the physical world." (Freeman J Dyson, "Mathematics in the Physical Sciences", Scientific American Vol. 211 (3), 1964)

"Weighing a sample appropriately is no more fudging the data than is correcting a gas volume for barometric pressure." (Frederick Mosteller, "Principles of Sampling", Journal of the American Statistical Association Vol. 49 (265), 1964)

"Without the hard little bits of marble which are called 'facts' or 'data' one cannot compose a mosaic; what matters, however, are not so much the individual bits, but the successive patterns into which you arrange them, then break them up and rearrange them." (Arthur Koestler, "The Act of Creation", 1964)

"One of the chief motivations behind the attempt to defend a distinction between theoretical and observational terms has been the desire to explain how a theory can be tested against the data of experience, and how one theory can be said to “account for the facts” better than another; that is, to give a precise characterization of the idea, almost universally accepted in modern times, that the sciences are 'based on experience', that they are 'empirical'." (Dudley Shapere, "Philosophical Problems of Natural Science", 1965)

"Throughout science there is a constant alternation between periods when a particular subject is in a state of order, with all known data falling neatly into their places, and a state of puzzlement and confusion, when new observations throw all neatly arranged ideas into disarray." (Sir Hermann Bondi, "Astronomy and the Physical Sciences", 1966)

"Modern science is characterized by its ever-increasing specialization, necessitated by the enormous amount of data, the complexity of techniques and of theoretical structures within every field. Thus science is split into innumerable disciplines continually generating new subdisciplines. In consequence, the physicist, the biologist, the psychologist and the social scientist are, so to speak, encapusulated in their private universes, and it is difficult to get word from one cocoon to the other." (Ludwig von Bertalanffy, "General System Theory", 1968)

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