08 June 2021

On Patterns (2010-2019)

"Because the question for me was always whether that shape we see in our lives was there from the beginning or whether these random events are only called a pattern after the fact. Because otherwise we are nothing." (Cormac McCarthy, "All the Pretty Horses", 2010)

"The human mind delights in finding pattern - so much so that we often mistake coincidence or forced analogy for profound meaning. No other habit of thought lies so deeply within the soul of a small creature trying to make sense of a complex world not constructed for it." (Stephen J Gould, "The Flamingo's Smile: Reflections in Natural History", 2010)

"What advantages do diagrams have over verbal descriptions in promoting system understanding? First, by providing a diagram, massive amounts of information can be presented more efficiently. A diagram can strip down informational complexity to its core - in this sense, it can result in a parsimonious, minimalist description of a system. Second, a diagram can help us see patterns in information and data that may appear disordered otherwise. For example, a diagram can help us see mechanisms of cause and effect or can illustrate sequence and flow in a complex system. Third, a diagram can result in a less ambiguous description than a verbal description because it forces one to come up with a more structured description." (Robbie T Nakatsu, "Diagrammatic Reasoning in AI", 2010)

"A surprising proportion of mathematicians are accomplished musicians. Is it because music and mathematics share patterns that are beautiful?" (Martin Gardner, "The Dover Math and Science Newsletter", 2011)

"It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern." (Daniel Kahneman, "Thinking, Fast and Slow", 2011)

"Knowing the importance of luck, you should be particularly suspicious when highly consistent patterns emerge from the comparison of successful and less successful firms. In the presence of randomness, regular patterns can only be mirages." (Daniel Kahneman, "Thinking, Fast and Slow", 2011)

"Nature's tendency for iteration, pattern formation, and creation of order out of chaos creates expectations of predictability. It seems, however, that nature, because of varying degrees of interaction between chance and choice, and the nonlinearity of systems, escapes the boredom of predictability." (Jamshid Gharajedaghi, "Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity A Platform for Designing Business Architecture" 3rd Ed., 2011)

"Once a myth becomes established, it forms part of our mental model of the world and alters our perception, the way our brains interpret the fleeting patterns our eyes pick up." (Jeremy Wade, "River Monsters: True Stories of the Ones that Didn't Get Away", 2011)

"Randomness might be defined in terms of order - its absence, that is. […] Everything we care about lies somewhere in the middle, where pattern and randomness interlace." (James Gleick, "The Information: A History, a Theory, a Flood", 2011)

"Equations have hidden powers. They reveal the innermost secrets of nature. […] The power of equations lies in the philosophically difficult correspondence between mathematics, a collective creation of human minds, and an external physical reality. Equations model deep patterns in the outside world. By learning to value equations, and to read the stories they tell, we can uncover vital features of the world around us." (Ian Stewart, "In Pursuit of the Unknown", 2012)

"Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise." (Nate Silver, "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't", 2012)

"What is a math problem? To a mathematician, a problem is a probe - a test of mathematical reality to see how it behaves. It is our way of 'poking it with a stick' and seeing what happens. We have a piece of mathematical reality, which may be a configuration of shapes, a number pattern, or what have you, and we want to understand what makes it tick: What does it do and why does it do it? So we poke it - only not with our hands and not with a stick. We have to poke it with our minds.(Paul Lockhart, "Measurement", 2012)

"Mathematical intuition is the mind’s ability to sense form and structure, to detect patterns that we cannot consciously perceive. Intuition lacks the crystal clarity of conscious logic, but it makes up for that by drawing attention to things we would never have consciously considered." (Ian Stewart, "Visions of Infinity", 2013)

"Mathematical intuition is the mind’s ability to sense form and structure, to detect patterns that we cannot consciously perceive." (Ian Stewart, "Visions of Infinity", 2013)

"Proof, in fact, is the requirement that makes great problems problematic. Anyone moderately competent can carry out a few calculations, spot an apparent pattern, and distil its essence into a pithy statement. Mathematicians demand more evidence than that: they insist on a complete, logically impeccable proof. Or, if the answer turns out to be negative, a disproof. It isn’t really possible to appreciate the seductive allure of a great problem without appreciating the vital role of proof in the mathematical enterprise. Anyone can make an educated guess. What’s hard is to prove it’s right. Or wrong." (Ian Stewart, "Visions of Infinity", 2013)

"Swarm intelligence illustrates the complex and holistic way in which the world operates. Order is created from chaos; patterns are revealed; and systems are free to work out their errors and problems at their own level. What natural systems can teach humanity is truly amazing." (Lawrence K Samuels, "Defense of Chaos: The Chaology of Politics, Economics and Human Action", 2013)

"To put it simply, we communicate when we display a convincing pattern, and we discover when we observe deviations from our expectations. These may be explicit in terms of a mathematical model or implicit in terms of a conceptual model. How a reader interprets a graphic will depend on their expectations. If they have a lot of background knowledge, they will view the graphic differently than if they rely only on the graphic and its surrounding text." (Andrew Gelman & Antony Unwin, "Infovis and Statistical Graphics: Different Goals, Different Looks", Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics Vol. 22(1), 2013)

"Another way to secure statistical significance is to use the data to discover a theory. Statistical tests assume that the researcher starts with a theory, collects data to test the theory, and reports the results - whether statistically significant or not. Many people work in the other direction, scrutinizing the data until they find a pattern and then making up a theory that fits the pattern." (Gary Smith, "Standard Deviations", 2014)

"Intersections of lines, for example, remain intersections, and the hole in a torus (doughnut) cannot be transformed away. Thus a doughnut may be transformed topologically into a coffee cup (the hole turning into a handle) but never into a pancake. Topology, then, is really a mathematics of relationships, of unchangeable, or 'invariant', patterns." (Fritjof Capra, "The Systems View of Life: A Unifying Vision", 2014)

"One of the remarkable features of these complex systems created by replicator dynamics is that infinitesimal differences in starting positions create vastly different patterns. This sensitive dependence on initial conditions is often called the butterfly-effect aspect of complex systems - small changes in the replicator dynamics or in the starting point can lead to enormous differences in outcome, and they change one’s view of how robust the current reality is. If it is complex, one small change could have led to a reality that is quite different." (David Colander & Roland Kupers, "Complexity and the art of public policy : solving society’s problems from the bottom up", 2014)

"[…] regard it in fact as the great advantage of the mathematical technique that it allows us to describe, by means of algebraic equations, the general character of a pattern even where we are ignorant of the numerical values which will determine its particular manifestation." (Friedrich A von Hayek, "The Market and Other Orders", 2014)

"Topology, then, is really a mathematics of relationships, of unchangeable, or 'invariant', patterns." (Fritjof Capra, "The Systems View of Life: A Unifying Vision", 2014)

"We are genetically predisposed to look for patterns and to believe that the patterns we observe are meaningful. […] Don’t be fooled into thinking that a pattern is proof. We need a logical, persuasive explanation and we need to test the explanation with fresh data." (Gary Smith, "Standard Deviations", 2014)

"We are hardwired to make sense of the world around us - to notice patterns and invent theories to explain these patterns. We underestimate how easily pat - terns can be created by inexplicable random events - by good luck and bad luck." (Gary Smith, "Standard Deviations", 2014)

"We are seduced by patterns and we want explanations for these patterns. When we see a string of successes, we think that a hot hand has made success more likely. If we see a string of failures, we think a cold hand has made failure more likely. It is easy to dismiss such theories when they involve coin flips, but it is not so easy with humans. We surely have emotions and ailments that can cause our abilities to go up and down. The question is whether these fluctuations are important or trivial." (Gary Smith, "Standard Deviations", 2014)

"A pattern is a design or model that helps grasp something. Patterns help connect things that may not appear to be connected. Patterns help cut through complexity and reveal simpler understandable trends. […] Patterns can be temporal, which is something that regularly occurs over time. Patterns can also be spatial, such as things being organized in a certain way. Patterns can be functional, in that doing certain things leads to certain effects. Good patterns are often symmetric. They echo basic structures and patterns that we are already aware of." (Anil K Maheshwari, "Business Intelligence and Data Mining", 2015)

"After all, order is merely the repetition of patterns; chaos is the process that establishes those patterns." (Lawrence K Samuels, "Chaos Gets a Bad Rap: Importance of Chaology to Liberty", 2015)

"It is not that the human mind cannot think logically. It is a question of different kinds of understanding. One kind of understanding is the logical, step-by-step way of understanding a formal mathematical proof. Each individual step can be checked but this may give no idea how they fit together, of the broad sweep of the proof, of the reasons that lead to it being thought of in the first place. Another kind of understanding arises by developing a global viewpoint, from which we can comprehend the entire argument at a glance. This involves fitting the ideas concerned into the overall pattern of mathematics, and linking them to similar ideas from other areas." (Ian Stewart & David Tall, "The Foundations of Mathematics" 2nd Ed., 2015)

"The human mind builds up theories by recognising familiar patterns and glossing over details that are well understood, so that it can concentrate on the new material. In fact it is limited by the amount of new information it can hold at any one time, and the suppression of familiar detail is often essential for a grasp of the total picture. In a written proof, the step-by-step logical deduction is therefore foreshortened where it is already a part of the reader's basic technique, so that they can comprehend the overall structure more easily." (Ian Stewart & David Tall, "The Foundations of Mathematics" 2nd Ed., 2015

"The human mind builds up theories by recognising familiar patterns and glossing over details that are well understood, so that it can concentrate on the new material. In fact it is limited by the amount of new information it can hold at any one time, and the suppression of familiar detail is often essential for a grasp of the total picture. In a written proof, the step-by-step logical deduction is therefore foreshortened where it is already a part of the reader's basic technique, so that they can comprehend the overall structure more easily." (Ian Stewart & David Tall, "The Foundations of Mathematics" 2nd Ed., 2015)

"Why do mathematicians care so much about pi? Is it some kind of weird circle fixation? Hardly. The beauty of pi, in part, is that it puts infinity within reach. Even young children get this. The digits of pi never end and never show a pattern. They go on forever, seemingly at random - except that they can’t possibly be random, because they embody the order inherent in a perfect circle. This tension between order and randomness is one of the most tantalizing aspects of pi." (Steven Strogatz, "Why PI Matters" 2015)

"Without chaos there would be no creation, no structure and no existence. After all, order is merely the repetition of patterns; chaos is the process that establishes those patterns. Without this creative self-organizing force, the universe would be devoid of biological life, the birth of stars and galaxies - everything we have come to know. (Lawrence K Samuels, "Chaos Gets a Bad Rap: Importance of Chaology to Liberty", 2015)

"A mental representation is a mental structure that corresponds to an object, an idea, a collection of information, or anything else, concrete or abstract, that the brain is thinking about. […] Because the details of mental representations can differ dramatically from field to field, it’s hard to offer an overarching definition that is not too vague, but in essence these representations are preexisting patterns of information - facts, images, rules, relationships, and so on - that are held in long-term memory and that can be used to respond quickly and effectively in certain types of situations." (Anders Ericsson & Robert Pool," Peak: Secrets from  the  New  Science  of  Expertise", 2016)

"Geometric pattern repeated at progressively smaller scales, where each iteration is about a reproduction of the image to produce completely irregular shapes and surfaces that can not be represented by classical geometry. Fractals are generally self-similar" (each section looks at all) and are not subordinated to a specific scale. They are used especially in the digital modeling of irregular patterns and structures in nature." (Mauro Chiarella, "Folds and Refolds: Space Generation, Shapes, and Complex Components", 2016)

"String theory today looks almost fractal. The more closely people explore any one corner, the more structure they find. Some dig deep into particular crevices; others zoom out to try to make sense of grander patterns. The upshot is that string theory today includes much that no longer seems stringy. Those tiny loops of string whose harmonics were thought to breathe form into every particle and force known to nature (including elusive gravity) hardly even appear anymore on chalkboards at conferences." (K C Cole, "The Strange Second Life of String Theory", Quanta Magazine", 2016)

"But here’s a curious thing about modest little e that sets it apart from bombastic numbers that end in scads of zeros: no matter how long you allow the computer to crank away with ever larger numbers for n, you’ll never be able to calculate its exact numerical value. That’s because the digits to the right of e’s decimal point go on forever in a random pattern - Euler actually established this in 1737. In other words, e effectively encapsulates the infinite." (David Stipp, "A Most Elegant Equation: Euler's Formula and the Beauty of Mathematics", 2017)

"Effects without an understanding of the causes behind them, on the other hand, are just bunches of data points floating in the ether, offering nothing useful by themselves. Big Data is information, equivalent to the patterns of light that fall onto the eye. Big Data is like the history of stimuli that our eyes have responded to. And as we discussed earlier, stimuli are themselves meaningless because they could mean anything. The same is true for Big Data, unless something transformative is brought to all those data sets… understanding." (Beau Lotto, "Deviate: The Science of Seeing Differently", 2017)

"Most of us have difficulty figuring probabilities and statistics in our heads and detecting subtle patterns in complex tables of numbers. We prefer vivid pictures, images, and stories. When making decisions, we tend to overweight such images and stories, compared to statistical information. We also tend to misunderstand or misinterpret graphics." (Daniel J Levitin, "Weaponized Lies", 2017)

"The most accurate but least interpretable form of data presentation is to make a table, showing every single value. But it is difficult or impossible for most people to detect patterns and trends in such data, and so we rely on graphs and charts. Graphs come in two broad types: Either they represent every data point visually" (as in a scatter plot) or they implement a form of data reduction in which we summarize the data, looking, for example, only at means or medians." (Daniel J Levitin, "Weaponized Lies", 2017)

"The relationship of math to the real world has been a conundrum for philosophers for centuries, but it is also an inspiration for poets. The patterns of mathematics inhabit a liminal space - they were initially derived from the natural world and yet seem to exist in a separate, self-contained system standing apart from that world. This makes them a source of potential metaphor: mapping back and forth between the world of personal experience and the world of mathematical patterns opens the door to novel connections." (Alice Major, "Mapping from e to Metaphor", 2018)

"When we make a discovery, produce a piece of art, or design a new gadget, we want to make sure it will have an impact on the world. We puzzle over the fine line between success and failure daily as we envision our own future trajectory or as we steer our children into adulthood. If only we could find patterns of success in a whole range of fields, perhaps we might be able to make sense of what we far too often attribute to chance." (Albert-László Barabási, "The Formula: The Universal Laws of Success", 2018)

"Apart from the technical challenge of working with the data itself, visualization in big data is different because showing the individual observations is just not an option. But visualization is essential here: for analysis to work well, we have to be assured that patterns and errors in the data have been spotted and understood. That is only possible by visualization with big data, because nobody can look over the data in a table or spreadsheet." (Robert Grant, "Data Visualization: Charts, Maps and Interactive Graphics", 2019)

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