30 December 2025

On Problem Solving 21: On Statistics

"Difficulties in identifying problems have delayed statistics far more than difficulties in solving problems." (John W Tukey, Unsolved Problems of Experimental Statistics, 1954)

"Stepwise regression is probably the most abused computerized statistical technique ever devised. If you think you need stepwise regression to solve a particular problem you have, it is almost certain that you do not. Professional statisticians rarely use automated stepwise regression." (Leland Wilkinson, "SYSTAT", 1984)

"We have to teach non-statisticians to recognize where statistical expertise is required. No one else will. We teach students how to solve simple statistical problems, but how often do we make any serious effort to teach them to recognize situations that call for statistical expertise that is beyond the technical content of the course." (Christopher J Wild, "Embracing the ‘Wider view’ of Statistics", The American Statistician 48, 1994)

"The goals in statistics are to use data to predict and to get information about the underlying data mechanism. Nowhere is it written on a stone tablet what kind of model should be used to solve problems involving data. To make my position clear, I am not against models per se. In some situations they are the most appropriate way to solve the problem. But the emphasis needs to be on the problem and on the data. Unfortunately, our field has a vested interest in models, come hell or high water." (Leo Breiman, "Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures, Statistical Science" Vol. 16(3), 2001)

"Teaching statistical thinking means giving people tools for problem solving in the real world. It should not be taught as pure mathematics. Instead of mechanically solving a dozen problems with the help of a particular formula, children and adolescents should be asked to find solutions to real-life problems. That’s what teaches them how to solve problems, and also shows that there may be more than one good answer in the first place. Equally important is encouraging curiosity, such as asking for answers to questions by doing experiments." (Gerd Gigerenzer, "Risk Savvy: How to make good decisions", 2014)

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On Problem Solving 21: On Statistics

"Difficulties in identifying problems have delayed statistics far more than difficulties in solving problems." (John W Tukey, Unso...