15 April 2022

On Precision (1975-1999)

"Simplicity is worth buying if we do not have to pay too great a loss of precision for it." (George Pólya, "Mathematical Methods in Science", 1977)

"Concepts are inventions of the human mind used to construct a model of the world. They package reality into discrete units for further processing, they support powerful mechanisms for doing logic, and they are indispensable for precise, extended chains of reasoning. […] A mental model is a cognitive construct that describes a person's understanding of a particular content domain in the world." (John Sown, "Conceptual Structures: Information Processing in Mind and Machine", 1984)

"Computational reducibility may well be the exception rather than the rule: Most physical questions may be answerable only through irreducible amounts of computation. Those that concern idealized limits of infinite time, volume, or numerical precision can require arbitrarily long computations, and so be formally undecidable." (Stephen Wolfram, Undecidability and intractability in theoretical physics", Physical Review Letters 54 (8), 1985)

"Whenever we axiomitize a real-world system, we always, of necessity, oversimplify. Frequently, the oversimplification will adequately describe the system for the purposes at hand. In many other cases, the oversimplification may seem deceptively close to reality, when in fact it is far wide of the mark. The best hope, of course, is the use of a model adequate to explain observation. However, when we are unable to develop an adequate model, we would generally be well advised to stick with empiricism and axiomatic imprecision." (James R Thompson, "Empirical Model Building", 1989)

"The voyage of discovery into our own solar system has taken us from clockwork precision into chaos and complexity. This still unfinished journey has not been easy, characterized as it is by twists, turns, and surprises that mirror the intricacies of the human mind at work on a profound puzzle. Much remains a mystery. We have found chaos, but what it means and what its relevance is to our place in the universe remains shrouded in a seemingly impenetrable cloak of mathematical uncertainty." (Ivars Peterson, "Newton’s Clock", 1993)

"The temptation to use mathematics is irresistible for economists. It appears to convey the appropriate air of scientific authority and precision to economists' musings." (Paul Ormerod, "The Death of Economics", 1994)

"Negative feedback only improves the precision of goal-seeking, but does not determine it. Feedback devices are only executive mechanisms that operate during the translation of a program." (Ernst Mayr, "Toward a New Philosophy of Biology: Observations of an Evolutionist", 1988)

No comments:

Post a Comment

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...

On Hypothesis Testing III

  "A little thought reveals a fact widely understood among statisticians: The null hypothesis, taken literally (and that’s the only way...